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NQ (Nasdaq 100 futures) · 5-minute
Price swept the previous day's low at 20,120 and immediately reclaimed it, printing a clear change of character (CHoCH) to the upside. The pullback held above the reclaim and left an unfilled fair value gap. Structure is now a series of higher lows building from a discount array into the London-to-NY handoff.
Sell-side liquidity below the prior day low was raided and reclaimed — the classic trap that fuels the reversal.
Displacement leg left an imbalance; a retrace into it offers a discount entry aligned with the new bias.
Reclaiming VWAP confirms intraday buyers have control.
Equal highs from the prior session sit above — a logical magnet for the move to target.
- Entry zone
- Retrace into the 20,150–20,168 FVG holding above VWAP
- Invalidation
- A 5-min close back below 20,118 (voids the reclaim)
- Targets
- 20,205 (intraday balance high) → 20,248 (equal highs / buy-side liquidity)
- Risk note
- About 40 points of risk to the invalidation. On MNQ that is 40 × $0.50 = $20/contract — size so total risk stays within your plan.
- Liquidity sweep + reclaim of PDLCHoCH to the upside on the 5-minUnfilled bullish FVG for a discount entryPrice reclaimed session VWAPClear draw on liquidity at equal highs above
- High-impact news in the session could invalidate the read instantlyIf price fails to hold VWAP on the retrace, the setup weakens to a C
The highest-quality longs often begin with a raid of sell-side liquidity, not a breakout. The market grabs stops below an obvious low, then reclaims — trapping breakout sellers and leaving fuel above. When a sweep, a CHoCH, an FVG, and VWAP all point the same way at a key level, that alignment is what turns a guess into a graded read.
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